Who may you vote for in the next General Election on July 4th

[Admin]

Election then July 4th!

And easy win for Labour for sure, but Reform UK might get (probably will get) Nigel Farage now and they could shoot out of nowhere but not sure anywhere near enough but you never know.

I'd not like to try make the country make money! NHS, wars, hacking of info, energy, water now too i saw on the news yesterday.

What are your thoughts?

(Keep discussion nice please)

 

[Fazz711]

Non of the above as they tend to be self serving ----ers

 

[brianmoooore]

Reform UK might get (probably will get) Nigel Farage

Not that 'probably', if something I read is correct.
Lots of possible 'ifs' and 'buts' and I haven't checked the figures myself, but it said that the 2019 election for that constituency was very much a two horse race, and assuming the same people vote this time:
If 1 in 6 of the voters who voted conservative vote reform this time, then the conservative wins again.
If between 1 in 6 and 5 in 6 of the previous conservative voters vote reform, then Labour wins.
Only if more than 5 out of 6 conservative voters switch to reform this time does Farage win.