My tuppenceworth
As some of you may know I am a SNP and Scottish independence supporter (nothing to do with any bias against other parts of the UK, with the exception of the Houses of Commons and Lords)
Up here in Scotland almost all EU nationals (who could not vote in the EU referendum) voted to stay in the UK in the Scottish independence referendum (aroung 125,000 at present count). Most are likely to vote Scotlands independence when the next Scottish referndum comes
There were posters on billboards telling people to vote NO in the Scottish referendum to GUARANTEE their EU membership.
We lost the Scottish independence vote by 383,000 votes, so we require 190,000 to switch from NO to indy to YES.
Assuimng the EU nationals vote the way they indicate then thats 120,000 so far, add that to 30,000 NO voters (3/4 of the >70 year olds who voted NO in 2014) then you have another 70,000 to throw in.
The 190,000 is looking thin now.
Now you have the people who voted NO for the EU thing
My mate (a raving Tory, but a nice person otherwise) voted NO and was a firm NO. He called me to tell me he felt lied to and will now devinately vote YES in any referendum on INDY
Tie that to the increase in the polls for YES and the turmoil for the UK at present then and we have a perfect storm.
Add in a pinch of the EU wanting to give the rUK a bloody nose and the fact that
Spain are unlikely to veto a Scottish EU entry (no common fisheries policy = no Spanish fishing in Scottish waters= no Spanish fishing industry).
Although it would have suited me to vote NO in the EU ref, i did vote YES as I believe in the EU (60% there, not fully convinced yet)
disuss