Latest Stats. Possible July Digression On The Way

[The Solar King]

We are very close to 100MW on the 0-10kWp band. It is anticipated that more will be added from Monday 31[SUP]st[/SUP] March which is likely to take the market above 100MW resulting in a degression for the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] July of 3.5%. There may not be confirmation of this for a few weeks. Meanwhile, DECC and Ofgem have now stopped weekly stats and will now only be publishing monthly deployment. Cumulatively it is estimated the UK is now at 4GW, which is the equivalent electricity consumption of 1.2 million homes.

• 30.50MW (6,035installations) reported for the week ending 30th March (previous week 15.57 MW, 3,410 installations).
  

• Capacities recorded in this FiT PV quarter, estimated from 1st January for 13 week: -0-10kW: 98.30 MW, 10-50kW: 31.9MW
  

• Cumulative Installations for FIT’s is 530.97 k, with a total capacity of 1,931 MW (0-4=1,476). This does not include FIT’s above 50kW, or under the RO. See table below.

• Cumulative UK capacity stands at approximately 4.0GW

• Note this is factual data from the FIT’s register (see below), but large scale under the RO is currently not registered. It is estimated that the cumulative breakdown of 4.0 GW is: 2.0 GW FIT’s, 0.4GW ROO-FIT’s (large scale), 1.6GW RO (Mainly solar farms)

FIT's Data	Total	0-4kWp	4-10kWp	10-50kWp
Number of Installs	530970	508242	11501	11227
Cumulative Capacity MW	1931	1476	95	361

Overall this has to be good news. A 3.5% digression is neither here nor there. There has been growing concern at the increasing level of returns on Small scale PV as installation costs have reduced and energy prices increased.


There is sure to be a fall off after 31[SUP]st[/SUP] March deadline but we should hopefully expect a higher sustainable level of activity.

 

[Worcester]

Ingoring the spikes, that runs at around 7,500 kWp per week, assuming 3kWp average install, that's 2,500 per week. Give or take a bob or two that's the same as the number of new house builds...

Interesting parallel, not sure what to draw form it yet, could really do with the figures for PV on new builds....

 

[Gavin A]

Brilliant move there by DECC to ensure that nobody can actually use their own initiative to add up the figures the week they're available to sus out if there's going to be a FIT cut or not. Now we all have to wait until the official announcement giving us just 2 months notice of any cut.

typical that this will start at a cliff hanger moment where it looks as if there will be a cut, but that can't be confirmed for another full month.

I can't see any way that this isn't going to result in a cut though, must have been loads of installations registered over the weekend and on the Monday... unless everyone was being super organised (think we had all but 1 of our installs registered by the Friday).

[exits thread muttering to himself]