I suspect that we could hit the deployment rate needed for a higher rate reduction / earlier reduction at some point next year once the impact of the price hikes in energy costs this winter is felt, and added in to the payback calcs, plus all the customers from this year talking about how well their system has performed again due to the better sunlight levels etc. If the winter isn't too hard, it could even follow on from the 1st quarter with the FIT cut driving demand on top of the energy price rises... stranger things have happened, and we've got 5 months to build sales in advance of the cut.
And I suspect that those companies left standing will be in a better position next year to handle increased demand - we could certainly have installed a lot more PV this year if we'd had the capacity to handle the increase in inquiries better, we now have that increased capacity. FWIW we just had by far the highest number of inquiries for solar PV installs at the home building and renovation show that we've done for 3 years, with 55 serious inquiries - it seems virtually every self building now wants solar PV as a matter of course, rather than it being a bit of a luxury item.
